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Boeing boosts expectations for Chinese fleet

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Boeing has increased its forecast for the number of aircraft China will need over the next two decades as passenger growth in the country continues at a fierce double-digit clip.

The US manufacturer’s  annual current market outlook for China now predicts  a demand for 7240 new aircraft valued at almost $US1.1 trillion — a 6.3 per cent increase over last year’s forecast.

“China’s continuous economic growth, significant investment in infrastructure, growing middle-class and evolving airline business models support this long-term outlook,” Boeing Commercial Airplanes marketing vice president Randy Tinseth said in an announcement from Beijing Wednesday.

“China’s fleet size is expected to grow at a pace well above the world average, and almost 20 percent of global new airplane demand will be from airlines based in China.”

The new forecast came as Intentional Air Transport Association figures for July showed China’s domestic traffic surged 15 per cent.

This was down slightly on June figures but IATA said the trend line remained strong with China’s second quarter GDP figures coming in better than expected.

“Demand is also being supported by supply factors including a near 15 per cent increase in the number of unique airport-pair routes this year compared to last (year),’’ the airline industry group said.

Boeing predicts most of the Chinese growth to 2036 will come from single-aisle aircraft needed for the regional and domestic fleet.

This will account for 75 per cent of total new deliveries, or 5420 planes, as full-service airlines and low-cost carriers expand new point-to-point services to cater for both business and leisure travel demand.

Tinseth said Boeing’s backlog from Chinese customers indicated the 737 MAX 8 remained at the heart of the Chinese market.

Boeing forecasts the widebody fleet over the next 20 years will require 1,670 new aircraft, with airlines continuing to shift to small and medium widebody planes for long-haul expansion and flexibility.

Primary demand for very large widebodies would be in the freighter market, it said.

“China’s outbound travel market continues its rapid growth toward 200 million passengers annually,” Tinseth said. “With new technologies, superior capabilities and advanced efficiency, the 787 and 777X families will play a key role in supporting the growth of China’s long-haul market.”

China makes up a significant chunk of Boeing’s forecast that the world will need for 41,030 new commercial aircraft over the next 20 years valued at $6.1 trillion dollars.

The manufacturer says more than 50 percent of all the commercial jetliners operating in China are Boeing aircraft and China plays an important role in supplying components for its jets.

Irma could be a US aviation hub disaster

Hurricane Irma airlines impact
A satellite image of Hurricane Irma. Source: NOAA

While it’s impossible at this point to tally the numbers, Irma—unlike Hurricane Harvey—has the   potential to impact flight operations at several major hubs for a slew of airlines.

Harvey  shut down Bush Houston Intercontinental, a major United hub, for days. Ditto Houston Hobby, a critical focus airport for Southwest.

Irma could be much worse.

The latest information from the U.S. National Hurricane Center projects the Category 5, 185-mile per hour juggernaut turning right and tracking up the Florida peninsula.

Read: Airlines reschedule flights, issue waivers.

In ascending order, from South to North that puts Miami International Airport in the storm’s potential path.

MIA is American Airlines’ fifth largest hub, and the carrier’s prime launch pad for flights to Latin American and the Caribbean.

Latest available figures show American fielded 117,162 annual flights from the airport in 2015.

Thirty miles up the East Coast from Miami lies Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International, virtually a seaside airfield. FLL’s major players are Southwest, JetBlue and Spirit. Southwest has already cancelled flights to San Juan, Puerto Rico; Punta Cana, Dominican Republic; Nassau, The Bahamas and Havana, Cuba.

Further up the peninsula is Orlando, where Delta and JetBlue hold sway. Presstime projections have Irma packing hurricane force winds as far inland an Orlando, located in central Florida.

It’s not inconceivable that flight operations could be halted in Miami, Fort Lauderdale and Orlando.

Irma’s Florida landfall could some this Sunday.

When Irma devolves into a strong tropical storm over land, the questions becomes: Will she proceed more or less north by northwest or track up the eastern coast of Florida, Georgia and he Carolinas?

If it’s the former, she could impact operations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International, the planet’s busiest airport—and Delta’s megahub, from which the airline operates more than 1,000 departures per day to 217 destinations.

If Irma follow the latter route, up the East Coast, it’s possible she could pose problems for Charlotte-Douglas International Airport. CLT is American’s second-largest hub, with 231,591 annual departures according to latest available figures.

One thing’s for certain at this juncture: Hurricane Irma’s impact isn’t going to be confined to the Leeward Islands of the Caribbean

Grand Final greats united to re-live one of the great finals through colourised photos

Jeffrey Mann, Les Mumme, Wayne Harvey, Dale Edwards Ian Fisher and Mort Kuhlman with the 1964 Finals montage. Credit: Supplied

It was a night to remember commemorating one of the WAFL’s great grand finals between Claremont and East Fremantle.

Old foes were best friends as they re-lived the thrilling Grand Final with new vision commentated by Denis Cometti and admired the colourisation of 25 photos of that October day.

Claremont won the Grand Final by four points when the late Ian Brewer kicked two quick goals in the dying minutes.

The colourised photos by Frenchman Benoit Vienne have also been built into a magnificent montage by graphic artist Toby Wilkinson.

Claremont’s 64 Grand Final ruckman Allen Mycock was in awe of the work.

“I cannot believe what he (Benoit Vienne) has done, it is magnificent,” Mycock said.

The team’s cult hero full-forward Wayne “Boomer” Harvey was quite overwhelmed by the colourisation work.

“It is just stunning, Benoit has done an extraordinary job,” Harvey said.

Montage of photos depicting the Claremont Tigers 1964 Grand Final campaign.
Montage of photos depicting the Claremont Tigers 1964 Grand Final campaign. Credit: Benoit Vienne and Toby Wilkinson/supplied

The Claremont team was represented by Wayne Harvey, Allen Mycock, Les Mumme, John Parkinson, Jeffrey Mann, Ian Fisher, Dale Edwards and Mort Kuhlman.

The event was attended by three East Fremantle players – Darryl Cormack, Ken Lally, and Laurie Watson – and they were each presented with a colourised picture of their 1965 premiership-wining team.

“It is fabulous to get together with the Claremont players. It was an amazing Grand Final and they were the better team on the day, they just kept coming at us,” Watson said.

Ken Lally felt that some of his teammates might have been overconfident as East Fremantle were red hot favourites to win, beating Claremont easily in the home and away games that year.

“Yes some were possibly a little too confident – but I wasn’t. You just couldn’t relax with Claremont.”

John “Buzz” Parkinson, who at 19 was the youngest on the ground, recalled he was given a good bump by an East Fremantle player after kicking the first goal of the game and told, “don’t do that again you little s..t”.

The West Australia’s Geoffrey Thomas highlights the photos in Tiger’s 64 colour montage to ruckman Allen Mycock. Credit: Hunrhu Kek/Supplied

Luckily for Claremont, he ignored that fatherly advice and kicked another plus several assists including a critical one that resulted in the first of Brewer’s two matching winning gaols.

Parkinson would go on to win a Sandover Medal in 1967 in a tie with Swan Districts Billy Walker.

Centre-man Dale Edwards reflecting on the game said it was very different from today.

“Back then, the player going for the ball was always protected. You simply had to be in front,” Edwards said.

And Edwards was in front when he scooped up a spilt ball to spear a pass to Brewer for his match-winning goal in the last minute of the game.

The collection of 25 photos and the montage is available to view online and purchase at West Pix.

That collection will also include the colourised 1965 East Fremantle premiership team.

L:R John “Buzz” Parkinson, Ken Laly, Les Mumme, Darly Cormack, and Laurie Watson with Ken Casellas standing.

Talk to me: United adds voice recognition check-in service

United Amazon voice echo
United Airlines has teamed with Amazon to offer voice check-in. Photo: YouTube.

Talk may be cheap but it can be useful in dealing with flights if you own an Amazon Echo device and fly with United Airlines.

United has become the first US carrier to offer a “skill” using Amazon’s Alexa voice recognition service to allow customers to check in and ask a variety of questions about flights.

Passengers can ask questions about the amenities on board a flight or check on how it’s going by simply asking: “Alexa, ask United what is the status of my flight to San Francisco’’.

Customers whose Mileage Plus frequent flyer accounts are connected to Alexa will be able to check in using the command: “Alexa, ask United to check me in’’.

“Every day we connect nearly 400,000 customers to business meetings, loved ones and new adventures,” said Praveen Sharma, vice president of digital products and analytics at United.  “Introducing the new skill to check in and receive flight information with Alexa is an innovation that gives our customers extra time to prep for a business meeting, play with their children or relax as they get ready for their upcoming flight.”

United is not alone in investing in technology with airports and airlines expected to spend almost $US33 billion globally on IT this year.

A report released this week by l technology firm SITA found the top agendas for both airlines and airports were investments in cyber security and cloud services.

This included investments in passenger self-service and the use of mobile devices.

The SITA  IT Trends Insights 2017 report found airlines were sharply focused on mobile services, with 73 per cent currently providing check-in by mobile devices, 70 per cent providing boarding and 68 percent status notifications.

This was expected to top 97 per cent by 2020.

A key growth area was real-time flight updates over social media, something currently done by less than a third of airlines but forecast to be adopted by more than 90 per cent in the next three years.

The search is also on for a killer app: 94 per cent of airlines rated streamlining services into a single app as a priority, with more than half saying it was a “high priority”.

“Mobile app capabilities and usability are developing quickly and an increasing number of airlines plan to use mobile as a customer service tool, including at times of disruption,’’ the report said.

Self-service was a buzzword with airports, with almost 90 per cent planning to invest in self-service check-in, bag drop and boarding facilities.

Read: Dubai Airport to introduce new facial recognition technology.

“Airports operators have a keen focus on improving the journey through the terminal and are looking to new technologies such as the Internet of Things, beacons and sensors, to support their goals,’’ the report said.  “SITA’s insights show that 80 per cent are investing, or planning to invest, in these technologies over the next three years.”

Airlines reschedule, issue waivers as second hurricane looms.

Hurricane irma nasa satellite
A NASA Earth Observatory satellite image of Hurricane Irma. Source NASA.

Airlines are issuing fare waivers and rescheduling flights as a second, even more powerful hurricane threatens the United States.

As Texas and Louisiana recovered from the wrath of Hurricane Harvey, Hurricane Irma was upgraded Tuesday to a category 5 storm and described as “potentially catastrophic” as it headed through the Caribbean towards Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

Weather experts said it was the second strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic with maximum sustained winds of 185mph (297kmh) tipped to generate storm surges of seven to 11 feet.

Also potentially affected are the Dominican Republic, Haiti and the Turks and Caicos Islands and Cuba.

While the path remains uncertain, there are fears it could pick up pace in the warm waters near Florida and turn north, prompting authorities in Florida to declare a state of emergency and activate the National Guard.

Orders for visitors to evacuate the Florida Keys were expected to be issued Wednesday, according to CNN.

Hurricane irma map[
Areas potentially affected by the hurricane. Source: NOAA.
Airlines had already issued travel alerts for the Caribbean and on Tuesday updated them to include  Florida.

American Airlines’ alert included 24  Caribbean airports as well as the mainland destinations Key West (EYW), Fort Lauderdale (FLL), Miami (MIA), Palm Beach (PBI), Fort Myers, (RSW) and Sarasota (SRQ).

The alert allows people travelling between  September 5 and September 12 to  rebook without change fees or request a refund where their flight has been cancelled or excessively delayed.

Other US carrier such as Delta, United and Southwest also issued travel alerts with details listed on their websites.

Overseas tourist are also not immune with trans-Atlantic carriers such as British Airways cancelling  flights to the Caribbean and issuing alerts about Florida.

The BBC reported the British carrier cancelled its flight to Antigua on Tuesday and sent an empty aircraft the Caribbean island to bring travellers home early.

The latest threat comes after Hurricane Harvey was responsible for the majority of more than 13,300 cancellations over a 12-day period to September 5, according to USA Today.

This compared to about 20,000 flight cancellations due to East Coast super storm Sandy in 2012.

Flights to Texas and the Gulf Coast have been resuming but the cost of recovering from the devastation caused by Harvey has been put as high as $US180 billion .

British Airways to fly 10-across B777s from May.

British airways 100 years product
Photo: Nick Morrish/British Airways

The big squeeze on the highly competitive trans-Atlantic market is set to continue next summer with British Airways bringing in new “densified” Boeing 777-200 aircraft from May.

BA is joining a number of airlines, including Cathay Pacific, that are moving to 10-across economy seating on B777s. They join airlines such as Air New Zealand, Emirates, Etihad and American Airlines.

Originally designed for nine-across economy seating, much of the global B777 fleet now has the denser configuration as airlines try to accommodate a new era of lower fares and increased competition on many routes.

In the case of BA, the move will see an extra 52 seats added to the three-class plane as the seat count rises from 280.

It comes as the British carrier is also introducing higher-capacity Airbus A320s with the number of seats increasing to 180 from 168 and A321s with 218 seats, up from 205.

The move is designed to increase “capital efficiency’’ and keep seat-costs comparable with aggressive competitors such as Norwegian, which operates fuel-efficient Boeing 787s across the Atlantic.

Read our review of British Airways.

The airline said when the move was revealed in 2016 that it was making the change to bring it into line with its competitors.

“As part of the update, we will also be fitting new entertainment systems,’’ it said at the time.

“British Airways continues to offer customers a generous hand baggage allowance and complimentary food and drink on all our long-haul services.”

The “elbow wars” begin on routes from London Gatwick to Caribbean and US destinations from early May, according to website Routesonline.

The first currently scheduled departure is May 7 between Gatwick and the Jamaican capital of Kingston.

This will be followed that month by Gatwick-Punta Cana, Gatwick-Orlando and Gatwick-Cancun.

Gatwick-Tampa will join in June, Gatwick New York (JFK) in July and Gatwick-Fort Lauderdale in September.

The change sees BA adopt a 3-4-3 configuration in the “densified’’ B777s compared to 3-3-3 in the older planes.

This often involves the introduction of narrower seats, although BA has yet to update its seat maps to include the new configuration.

Seats on the airline’s current three-class Boeing 777-200s are either 17.5 (44.5cms) or 18.1 inches wide with a 31-inch seat pitch, according to SeatGuru.

 

Glider sets new altitude record in bid to reach final frontier.

perlan glider record tailcam
The tail camera of the Airbus Perlan 2 pressurized glider captures a panoramic view from the world-record setting altitude of 52,172 feet. Photo: Perlan Project.

The glider gurus striving to go where no-one has gone before have set a new world altitude record for engineless flights above the snow-capped peaks of the Andes Mountains in Argentina.

While the Perlan Mission II composite glider didn’t reach a  90,000ft altitude target that would have put it on the edge of space, it topped 52,000ft to set a new record for gliding.

The previous world altitude record for a glider of 50,772ft was set in 2006 by the Perlan 1 glider, now on display at the Seattle Museum of Flight, flown by the late Steve Fossett and Einar Enevoldson.

The latest record of 52,172ft was achieved September 3 by surfing rare stratospheric mountain waves — strong updrafts capable of reaching the edge of space — that only occur for brief periods at certain times in a few places on Earth.

Read: Gilder in attempt to reach the edge of space.

Chief pilot Jim Payne and co-pilot Morgan Sandercock  completed  the flight from Comandante Armando Tola International Airport in El Calafate, Argentina.  Patagonia’s El Calafate is one of those rare places where mountain waves, fed by the polar vortex, occur.

Perlan glider record pilots
Perlan Mission II pilots Jim Payne (left) and Morgan Sandercock. Photo: Jackie Payne, Perlan Project.

However, the attempt to set a new record was not the only function of the pressurised glider.  It also carried with it flight experiments looking at subjects as diverse as climate change to how radiation affects pilots and aircraft at high altitudes.

Perlan Project chief executive Ed Warnock described the new record as a victory for aerospace innovation and scientific discovery. He vowed the attempt to reach the edge of the final frontier would continue.

“We will continue to strive for even higher altitudes, and to continue our scientific experiments to explore the mysteries of the stratosphere,’’ he said. “We’ve made history, but the learning has just begun.”

European aerospace giant Airbus, which has supported this and previous Perlan missions, said the record was the result of bold thinking.

“With every Airbus Perlan Mission II milestone, we continue to learn more about how we can fly higher, faster and cleaner,’’ Airbus chief executive Tom Enders said in a statement.

“But we also learn that aviation still has the power to surprise us, thrill us, and motivate us to find new frontiers of endeavor.”

 

Would you be biochipped to make air travel easier?

biochip iata traveller
Those happy to be biochipped become trusted travellers. Photo: Argonne Laboratory Flickr.

Would you be prepared to be biochipped and regularly monitored in order to be able to travel more freely?

This is one of the scenarios raised in a new report on the future of the airline industry that also recommends a working group be set up to look at automation in aircraft.

The speculative report doesn’t come from the pen of a science fiction author but from the School of International Futures and was commissioned by the International Air Transport Association’s industry affairs committee.

It is designed to generate discussion and looks at a number of scenarios and the drivers that could bring them into being by 2035.

Those drivers cover a wide range of subjects from societal and technological change to environmental, economic and political developments.

The biochipping suggestion is part of a “New Frontiers” scenario where there has been a shift in power to the East and competition for economic and military power moves to new frontiers, including space.

Access to information is open and democractised but there remain problems in areas such as  cybercrime and  the use of data by states to conduct surveillance.

In this world, governments continually monitor the financial transaction of citizens, there is bioscreening in showers, autonomous vehicles and artificial intelligence dominates frontline service.

But global instability, the emergence of “bio-bombs” and an increase in transnational cybercrime has made travellers nervous.

“People are willing to pay more for low-risk flights,’’ the report speculates. “And airlines are keen to reduce risks too – every individual now has a risk rating.

“Those who agree to be ‘biochipped’ and regularly monitored can travel more freely and AAA+ travelers get prioritized access. Since 2032, everyone in Europe has been chipped at birth.”

Although it doesn’t use the artistic names of a similar study by global booking giant Amadeus, the IATA document approaches the problem of predicting an uncertain future in a similar way.

It sees the critical uncertainties as geopolitics — including, terrorism, cyber warfare, trade and governance — and whether data will be open and connected or closed.

Three other scenarios are considered alongside “New Frontiers”:  “Resource Wars”, “Sustainable Futures” and “Platforms”.

“Sustainable Futures” sees a peaceful, multi-polar world in which there is strong international governance and open access to information.

Advances in big data, predictive analytics and artificial intelligence all have a positive impact on society, innovation allows sustainability and new trade routes open up.

“Resource Wars”, arguably the darkest of the four scenarios, sees a turbulent world in which “an aggressive, nationalistic China threatens a US  distracted by continued conflict”.

This scenario sees a wave of territorial disputes in the Middle east and Asia, the emergence of resource trading blocs and limits on movements between rich and poor countries.

“Data asymmetries exist between countries, and governments increasingly use data to monitor and control their citizens.,’’ the report says.

“Platforms” sets a stage in which the US and China have co-operated to open international trade and corporations play an increasing role in the economy.

A dominant elite controls data and data platforms, Africa is sidelined and many countries see a disempowered public increasingly dissatisfied with the political elite

Recommendations in the report begin with a call for continued support for bodies involved in setting global standards, such as the UN-Backed International Civil Aviation Organisation, as well as increased engagement with new institutions such as the Global Development Bank.

The report suggests IATA push for greater flexibility in routing and scheduling to allow airlines to deal with conflicts and other major disruptions.

Other recommendations include a set of emergency response guidelines and procedures that airlines could implement rapidly in turbulent times and the establishment of  a global industry-wide position on data protection.

One certain to get the attention of pilots includes the establishment of working group of both manned and unmanned operators to facilitate standard-setting and information sharing.

US manufacturer Boeing said earlier this year that it would examine pilotless aircraft and test the technology in a simulator.

“Technology in self-driving cars may pave the way for more relaxed attitudes to automation,’’  the report says.

“At the same time, there will be risks around the co-existence of piloted and pilotless flights in the same airspace (a risk already present with drones).

“Technology already enables pilotless flights. Freight shipment represents an opportunity for airlines to develop cutting-edge technology without watering down their commitment to passenger safety.’’

United to operate Boeing 777-300ER on San Francisco-Auckland.

United Polaris dining
Dining in United's new business cabin. Photo: United.

United Airlines will fly its San Francisco-Auckland seasonal service from October 31 with six flights a week using a bigger Boeing 777-300ER aircraft equipped with its Polaris business seat.

The airline will fly the route six days a week until December 17 when it will boost services to daily until March 24. The Boeing 777-300ER replaces a Boeing 787 used last New Zealand summer.

United, a Star Alliance partner with Air New Zealand, announced earlier this year that it would not fly between April and October because of slower demand during those months.

“Starting this spring in New Zealand we will resume our popular Auckland-San Francisco service with a larger Boeing 777-300ER aircraft,” Australia and New Zealand sales director Julie Reid said in a statement.

“Over the years we have seen an overwhelming demand during this popular summer season and we are excited to offer not just the new United Polaris business class but also an increased capacity.”

United’s 777-300ERs come with 204 seats in economy, 102 in economy plus and 60 Polaris seats. This compares with 113 economy, 70 economy plus and 36 Polaris seats on its Boeing 787-8.

Flights leave San Francisco at 10:45pm and arrive two days later at 8:55am Auckland time after a journey of just over 13 hours. Those heading north will leave Auckland at 3:30pm and arrive in San Francisco at 6:50am the same day.

United’s Polaris business offering was launched late last year and the airline has labelled the suite its most significant product transformation in more than a decade.

In addition to with revamped service and new amenity kits,  it features direct aisle access and a generous lie-flat seat with good storage, multiple work surfaces, USB ports and a 16-inch high-definition video screen.

A marble-topped bar unit offers customers in business class a place to grab a mid-flight drink or snack.

Rival American Airlines flies to Auckland and also plans to operate a seasonal schedule between October and March.

Read also: United goes ultra long-haul to Singapore.

Air New Zealand 787 draws a heart in the sky

An Air New Zealand Boeing 787-9 has drawn a huge heart in the sky while operating a special Koru Care flight – taking kids on a mystery journey.

The 787 drew a 440 km long and 483 km wide heart shape across the north island of New Zealand.

The flight departed Auckland, with a guest list that included 50 New Zealand children with critical medical conditions such as cancer and heart disease, and their caregivers.

In a global-first, the airline then live streamed the top-secret route in partnership with FlightRadar24 and gradually revealed the heart shaped flight plan during a Facebook Live broadcast, enabling followers on the ground to join in the kids’ excitement.

Air New Zealand has supported Koru Care for more than 30 years and donates around 100 airfares every year for overseas holidays for children living with serious medical conditions.

Air New Zealand Chief People Officer Jodie King volunteered on today’s flight and says the airline wanted to host a flight for children who have been unable to join Koru Care’s international trips due to the nature of their medical condition or personal situation.

“Many of the children had never been on a plane before – let alone a Dreamliner. Today’s flight gave these brave Kiwi kids the chance to experience the excitement of flying and our people really pulled out the stops to make it a magical day.”

Various organizations helped make the Air New Zealand Koru Care flight possible – including Panasonic Avionics, BP, Auckland Airport, Airways New Zealand, LSG catering, Fonterra, Delish Cupcakes, Urban Gourmet and SkyBus.

 

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